I did a simple system trade on the trend defining line (TDL from now onwards) as described here.
The idea was to buy and sell on cross up or down.
Brief summary:
Time frame: Daily for last 15 years on Nifty spot.
Buy Condition: Close above the TDL.
Sell Condition: Close below TDL
Short Condition: Close below TDL
Profit Book Condition: Close above the TDL.
Commissions: 0.10% of trade.
Trade Entry: Buy/Sell on next open bar i.e. if signal is generated before todays close then buy/sell tommorrow open. This is to have a realistic results and avoids preempting the signal.
As can be seen these are very simple rules to trade.
Output
3945 Daily Bars 23/01/1995 Through 30/11/2010 (5790 Days)
The idea was to buy and sell on cross up or down.
Brief summary:
Time frame: Daily for last 15 years on Nifty spot.
Buy Condition: Close above the TDL.
Sell Condition: Close below TDL
Short Condition: Close below TDL
Profit Book Condition: Close above the TDL.
Commissions: 0.10% of trade.
Trade Entry: Buy/Sell on next open bar i.e. if signal is generated before todays close then buy/sell tommorrow open. This is to have a realistic results and avoids preempting the signal.
As can be seen these are very simple rules to trade.
Output
3945 Daily Bars 23/01/1995 Through 30/11/2010 (5790 Days)
Performance | |
Profit | 5681.2447 Pts |
Performance | N/A |
Annualized Performance | N/A |
Buy & Hold Profit | 4819.6582 Pts |
Buy & Hold Performance | N/A |
Buy & Hold Annualized Performance | N/A |
Trade Summary | ||||
Total Trades | 335 | |||
Profitable Trades | ||||
Total | 115 | |||
Long | 64 | |||
Short | 51 | |||
Average Profit | 147.2962 Pts | |||
Unprofitable Trades | ||||
Total | 220 | |||
Long | 103 | |||
Short | 117 | |||
Average Loss | -51.1719 Pts | |||
Accounting | ||||
Initial Equity | 0.0000 Pts | |||
Trade Profit | 16939.0650 Pts | |||
Trade Loss | -11257.8203 Pts | |||
Commissions | 784.7109 Pts | |||
Interest Credited | 0.0000 Pts | |||
Interest Charged | 0.0000 Pts | |||
Final Equity | 5681.2447 Pts | |||
Drawdown | |
Highest Account Balance | 5791.9947 Pts |
Lowest Account Balance | -278.9460 Pts |
Profit Factor: 1.5
Equity chart:
Equity chart:
Result:
The system outperforms Nifty buy and hold by 25% over the last 15 years without much efforts.
There could be some minor variation in the results when we use Nifty futures instead of spot.
I will dissect the trading system in later posts.
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